jaredpalmer/kev-4b

Model

kev-4b — research preview

0

5 commits

1 linked in READMEs

updated Sep 19, 2026

See the code
calibration
decision-model
lora
model-index
multiple-choice
peft
research-preview
safetensors
text-classification
typesafe

README

kev-4b — research preview

kev-4b is a decision model: one document (the state) and a set of typed questions in, a probability distribution per question out, in one forward pass. No text generation. It is a LoRA adapter (r=16) plus a pointer head on Qwen/Qwen3-4B-Base, serving TypeSafe's public /v1/systemone contract.

Research preview, not a versioned release. It is the best 4B checkpoint under a frozen, checksummed protocol after ~30 controlled 4B trials, and the first kev whose out-of-domain accuracy is within ten points of Jev on the same items. It does not pass the release screen we set in advance (held-out policy pairs: 0.62 both-correct, screen 70%).

  • Hub: jaredpalmer/kev-4b (this repo; trial lowdrift-4b-v4/01-trial-1)
  • Code, suites, every trial with hashes and paired bootstraps: github.com/jaredpalmer/kevPLAN.md, runs/leaderboard.md

Results (same frozen items for every row)

kev-0.5bkev-0.6b previewkev-4b previewJev
in-distribution accuracy (decision-v4 dev, 1,200 q)0.7120.8050.8430.845
out-of-domain accuracy (transfer-v4 dev, 560 q)0.5750.5980.7590.855
out-of-domain Brier0.500.5210.3460.221
confident errors out of domain (p ≥ 0.9 and wrong)5.2%5.5%5.5%
held-out policy structures, both siblings correct0.110.620.95
option-order flip rate0.210.020.000.00

Per-source out-of-domain accuracy (kev-4b / Jev): QNLI 0.89 / 0.925, SciQ 0.99 / 0.99, TweetEval-offensive 0.71 / 0.81, PAWS 0.64 / 0.79, MMLU 0.68 / 0.90, Emotion 0.60 / 0.60, deadline (3-level date arithmetic) 0.60 / 0.95.

Seeds: the recipe was run at three seeds on this suite (transfer 0.759 / 0.758 / 0.759; in-distribution 0.843 / 0.853 / 0.855) and twice more on a superset suite (0.755 / 0.761); the spread is ~1 pp. The improvement over the default learning rate is +4.7 pp, 95% CI [+0.4, +9.6], record-clustered paired bootstrap.

Locked test, one exploratory read (runs/locked/kev-4b-preview-ungated/, labelled ungated because the checkpoint fails the held-out-pair screen): in-distribution 0.852 (Brier 0.221), out-of-domain 0.794 (Brier 0.296, confident errors 3.7%). Both above the development numbers, as for kev-0.6b, so development-set selection did not overfit. This partition will not be read again for this checkpoint.

What we learned building it

  • Capacity dominates out of domain. With public examples and synthetic budget held equal, 0.6B → 4B is +14–19 pp; 4B → 8B is +1–7 pp.
  • Fine-tuning erodes base capability, and the learning rate controls it. The 4B base, zero-shot with a letter readout, scores 0.688 on the same MMLU items and 0.787 on PAWS; the default recipe (lr 2e-4) trained down to 0.60–0.66 / 0.56–0.71. Lowering lr to 5e-5 recovers most of it and is the single largest recipe improvement we found; fewer LoRA target modules and smaller ranks help less.
  • More public training data raises in-distribution accuracy and lowers transfer at 4B (10k vs 3.4k records: −3 pp). Knowledge MCQ sources (ARC, OpenBookQA, CommonsenseQA) raise in-distribution accuracy to 0.86 without moving transfer.
  • Programmatic contrastive policy pairs teach the trained rule structures (both-correct 0.85–1.0) but transfer to unseen structures only partially (0.5–0.6 at 4B, 0.03–0.11 at 0.6B).

Known limits

  • Held-out policy reasoning (unseen rule compositions, date arithmetic with grace periods) is far from Jev.
  • Product-shaped questions with no training analogue are not guaranteed: on the TypeSafe docs example ("two charges on my card" → Is there a billing problem?) this checkpoint answers 0.22 while kev-0.6b answers 0.97 and picks the return reason (wrong size, 0.54) correctly. Lower drift from the base means fewer task-specific priors; measure on your own inputs.
  • Out-of-domain probabilities are usable but not calibrated (raw ECE 0.096); temperature fitted in-domain does not transfer.
  • 4B fp32 needs ~16 GB; on a 32 GB Mac use KEV_DTYPE=bf16. Latency on an H100 is ~45 ms per packed request; on an M5 several hundred ms.

Training

Frozen suite evals/v4/decision-v4: 10,000 public records (1,000 per source, ten sources) plus two programmatic policy arms of 448 records, two epochs, LoRA r=16 on attention and MLP projections, pointer head from scratch, cross-entropy on the option distribution, lr 5e-5 (OneCycle), effective batch 8, bf16 autocast with fp32 master weights, gradient checkpointing, one H100 (~40 min). Augmentation: option permutation, none-of-the-above insertion, distractors, none minimal pairs on 25% of Choice records. No Jev outputs were used for training.

Evaluation protocol

Development partitions select models; the locked test partition is read at most once per candidate. Every number carries suite hash, code hashes, and git commit in result.json. See PLAN.md for the corrections we made to our own earlier claims.

Use

uv run --extra serve python -m kev.serve --run jaredpalmer/kev-4b --port 8008      # KEV_DTYPE=bf16 on a 32 GB Mac

Any TypeSafe-compatible client works: TypeSafeClient(api_key="local", base_url="http://127.0.0.1:8008", model="kev-latest").

License

Apache-2.0 for the adapter and head; Qwen3 base is Apache-2.0; datasets carry their own licenses.

Contributors

jaredpalmer

5 commits

jaredpalmer/kev-4b

Model

kev-4b — research preview

0

5 commits

1 linked in READMEs

updated Sep 19, 2026

See the code
calibration
decision-model
lora
model-index
multiple-choice
peft
research-preview
safetensors
text-classification
typesafe

README

kev-4b — research preview

kev-4b is a decision model: one document (the state) and a set of typed questions in, a probability distribution per question out, in one forward pass. No text generation. It is a LoRA adapter (r=16) plus a pointer head on Qwen/Qwen3-4B-Base, serving TypeSafe's public /v1/systemone contract.

Research preview, not a versioned release. It is the best 4B checkpoint under a frozen, checksummed protocol after ~30 controlled 4B trials, and the first kev whose out-of-domain accuracy is within ten points of Jev on the same items. It does not pass the release screen we set in advance (held-out policy pairs: 0.62 both-correct, screen 70%).

  • Hub: jaredpalmer/kev-4b (this repo; trial lowdrift-4b-v4/01-trial-1)
  • Code, suites, every trial with hashes and paired bootstraps: github.com/jaredpalmer/kevPLAN.md, runs/leaderboard.md

Results (same frozen items for every row)

kev-0.5bkev-0.6b previewkev-4b previewJev
in-distribution accuracy (decision-v4 dev, 1,200 q)0.7120.8050.8430.845
out-of-domain accuracy (transfer-v4 dev, 560 q)0.5750.5980.7590.855
out-of-domain Brier0.500.5210.3460.221
confident errors out of domain (p ≥ 0.9 and wrong)5.2%5.5%5.5%
held-out policy structures, both siblings correct0.110.620.95
option-order flip rate0.210.020.000.00

Per-source out-of-domain accuracy (kev-4b / Jev): QNLI 0.89 / 0.925, SciQ 0.99 / 0.99, TweetEval-offensive 0.71 / 0.81, PAWS 0.64 / 0.79, MMLU 0.68 / 0.90, Emotion 0.60 / 0.60, deadline (3-level date arithmetic) 0.60 / 0.95.

Seeds: the recipe was run at three seeds on this suite (transfer 0.759 / 0.758 / 0.759; in-distribution 0.843 / 0.853 / 0.855) and twice more on a superset suite (0.755 / 0.761); the spread is ~1 pp. The improvement over the default learning rate is +4.7 pp, 95% CI [+0.4, +9.6], record-clustered paired bootstrap.

Locked test, one exploratory read (runs/locked/kev-4b-preview-ungated/, labelled ungated because the checkpoint fails the held-out-pair screen): in-distribution 0.852 (Brier 0.221), out-of-domain 0.794 (Brier 0.296, confident errors 3.7%). Both above the development numbers, as for kev-0.6b, so development-set selection did not overfit. This partition will not be read again for this checkpoint.

What we learned building it

  • Capacity dominates out of domain. With public examples and synthetic budget held equal, 0.6B → 4B is +14–19 pp; 4B → 8B is +1–7 pp.
  • Fine-tuning erodes base capability, and the learning rate controls it. The 4B base, zero-shot with a letter readout, scores 0.688 on the same MMLU items and 0.787 on PAWS; the default recipe (lr 2e-4) trained down to 0.60–0.66 / 0.56–0.71. Lowering lr to 5e-5 recovers most of it and is the single largest recipe improvement we found; fewer LoRA target modules and smaller ranks help less.
  • More public training data raises in-distribution accuracy and lowers transfer at 4B (10k vs 3.4k records: −3 pp). Knowledge MCQ sources (ARC, OpenBookQA, CommonsenseQA) raise in-distribution accuracy to 0.86 without moving transfer.
  • Programmatic contrastive policy pairs teach the trained rule structures (both-correct 0.85–1.0) but transfer to unseen structures only partially (0.5–0.6 at 4B, 0.03–0.11 at 0.6B).

Known limits

  • Held-out policy reasoning (unseen rule compositions, date arithmetic with grace periods) is far from Jev.
  • Product-shaped questions with no training analogue are not guaranteed: on the TypeSafe docs example ("two charges on my card" → Is there a billing problem?) this checkpoint answers 0.22 while kev-0.6b answers 0.97 and picks the return reason (wrong size, 0.54) correctly. Lower drift from the base means fewer task-specific priors; measure on your own inputs.
  • Out-of-domain probabilities are usable but not calibrated (raw ECE 0.096); temperature fitted in-domain does not transfer.
  • 4B fp32 needs ~16 GB; on a 32 GB Mac use KEV_DTYPE=bf16. Latency on an H100 is ~45 ms per packed request; on an M5 several hundred ms.

Training

Frozen suite evals/v4/decision-v4: 10,000 public records (1,000 per source, ten sources) plus two programmatic policy arms of 448 records, two epochs, LoRA r=16 on attention and MLP projections, pointer head from scratch, cross-entropy on the option distribution, lr 5e-5 (OneCycle), effective batch 8, bf16 autocast with fp32 master weights, gradient checkpointing, one H100 (~40 min). Augmentation: option permutation, none-of-the-above insertion, distractors, none minimal pairs on 25% of Choice records. No Jev outputs were used for training.

Evaluation protocol

Development partitions select models; the locked test partition is read at most once per candidate. Every number carries suite hash, code hashes, and git commit in result.json. See PLAN.md for the corrections we made to our own earlier claims.

Use

uv run --extra serve python -m kev.serve --run jaredpalmer/kev-4b --port 8008      # KEV_DTYPE=bf16 on a 32 GB Mac

Any TypeSafe-compatible client works: TypeSafeClient(api_key="local", base_url="http://127.0.0.1:8008", model="kev-latest").

License

Apache-2.0 for the adapter and head; Qwen3 base is Apache-2.0; datasets carry their own licenses.

Contributors

jaredpalmer

5 commits