mlboydaisuke/TimesFM-2.5-200M-CoreAI

Model

1

stars

11

commits

4

linked in READMEs

Sep 7, 2026

updated

apple
core-ai
coreai
coreai-aimodel
coreaikit
forecasting
on-device
time-series
time-series-forecasting
timesfm
Browse cluster: Time Series Forecasting with Transformers

README

Core AI is Apple's on-device ML runtime in iOS 27 / macOS 27 and the successor to Core ML: PyTorch models are exported with Apple's coreai-torch (LLMs: coreai.llm.export) into .aimodel bundles that run on the GPU or the Neural Engine, e.g. Qwen3-8B 4-bit decodes at 94 tok/s on an M4 Max GPU, MLX 90 under the same protocol (apple-silicon-llm-bench, macOS 27 beta, 2026-06).

TimesFM 2.5 200M — Core AI

google/timesfm-2.5-200m-transformers (Apache-2.0, 200M) converted to Apple Core AI .aimodel — the zoo's first time-series forecasting foundation model. A decoder-only patched transformer: feed it any univariate series, get a 128-step point + 10-quantile forecast, entirely on device.

TimesFM is a decoder-only transformer over time-series patches (32 points/patch), with the familiar LLM stack — RoPE, RMSNorm sandwich-norm, QK-norm, a learnable per-dim attention scale — but numeric patches in and quantile forecasts out. The zoo port runs it as **one stateless Core AI graph

  • a host DSP wrapper** (RevIN normalization, flip-invariance, continuous-quantile head): no LLM runtime, just CoreAIKit's GraphModel.

Contents

  • timesfm_2p5_200m_ctx2048_fp16.aimodel — the transformer graph (fp16, ~463 MB). Fixed context 2048 (64 patches); shorter series are front-padded + masked by the host, so one bundle covers every context length ≤ 2048. Inputs tok_in[1,64,64], cos/sin[1,64,80], attn_bias[1,1,64,64] → outputs proj_point[1,64,1280], proj_q[1,64,10240].
  • host/ — the Python host-DSP reference (timesfm_core.py, host_forecast.py): patching, two-level RevIN (global + per-patch causal Welford), flip-invariance (2 graph calls on ±input), continuous-quantile head, denormalization, positivity clamp. This is the exact spec the Swift Forecaster follows.

Gates (vs the HF TimesFm2_5ModelForPrediction fp32 oracle)

  • Re-authored graph vs HF projections: cos 1.0000000 (MAE ~1e-6).
  • Independent host DSP + graph vs HF final forecast: cos 1.0000000 (rel ~1e-8).
  • Core AI fp16 graph, Mac GPU: cos ≥ 0.99998; end-to-end forecast cos 0.9999999, values match HF to 2–3 decimals — including a front-padded short-context case.
  • iPhone 17 Pro, in-app (KitForecaster, AOT h18p): device forecast == Mac to 3 decimals (Δ ≤ 0.001, fp16 GPU rounding).
  • Mac GPU ~7 ms/graph → ~14 ms per 128-step forecast (flip = 2 calls); iPhone 17 Pro ~25 ms warm (54 ms cold). iOS h18p AOT: clean, device-verified.

Use (Python, Core AI runtime)

import numpy as np, torch, coreai.runtime as rt, asyncio
from host_forecast import forecast          # host/host_forecast.py
from timesfm_core import EngineCore          # thin engine adapter (see host/)

CFG = dict(patch=32, horizon=128, hidden=1280, layers=20, heads=16,
           head_dim=80, inter=1280, q=9, oql=1024, eps=1e-6)
model = asyncio.run(rt.AIModel.load("timesfm_2p5_200m_ctx2048_fp16.aimodel",
                                    rt.SpecializationOptions.from_preferred_compute_unit_kind(
                                        rt.ComputeUnitKind.gpu())))
core = EngineCore(model.load_function("main"), torch.float16)
series = torch.tensor(my_1d_series, dtype=torch.float32)     # any length ≤ 2048
mean_pred, full_pred = forecast(core, series, ctx_len=2048, cfg=CFG)   # (128,), (128,10)

Use (CoreAIKit, Swift)

let forecaster = try await KitForecaster(catalog: "timesfm-2.5-200m")
let out = try await forecaster.forecast(series)          // [Float] → point + quantiles
// out.mean (128-step), out.quantiles (128 × 10)

Base model: TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research). Core AI export: coreai-model-zoo. Apache-2.0.


More models in this format: Core AI Model Zoo — 75 models, each with the recipe that produced it.

Want a different model on-device? Open a request — free, open weights only; the export and its measured numbers get published publicly.

Contributors

mlboydaisuke

11 commits

mlboydaisuke/TimesFM-2.5-200M-CoreAI

Model

1

stars

11

commits

4

linked in READMEs

Sep 7, 2026

updated

apple
core-ai
coreai
coreai-aimodel
coreaikit
forecasting
on-device
time-series
time-series-forecasting
timesfm
Browse cluster: Time Series Forecasting with Transformers

README

Core AI is Apple's on-device ML runtime in iOS 27 / macOS 27 and the successor to Core ML: PyTorch models are exported with Apple's coreai-torch (LLMs: coreai.llm.export) into .aimodel bundles that run on the GPU or the Neural Engine, e.g. Qwen3-8B 4-bit decodes at 94 tok/s on an M4 Max GPU, MLX 90 under the same protocol (apple-silicon-llm-bench, macOS 27 beta, 2026-06).

TimesFM 2.5 200M — Core AI

google/timesfm-2.5-200m-transformers (Apache-2.0, 200M) converted to Apple Core AI .aimodel — the zoo's first time-series forecasting foundation model. A decoder-only patched transformer: feed it any univariate series, get a 128-step point + 10-quantile forecast, entirely on device.

TimesFM is a decoder-only transformer over time-series patches (32 points/patch), with the familiar LLM stack — RoPE, RMSNorm sandwich-norm, QK-norm, a learnable per-dim attention scale — but numeric patches in and quantile forecasts out. The zoo port runs it as **one stateless Core AI graph

  • a host DSP wrapper** (RevIN normalization, flip-invariance, continuous-quantile head): no LLM runtime, just CoreAIKit's GraphModel.

Contents

  • timesfm_2p5_200m_ctx2048_fp16.aimodel — the transformer graph (fp16, ~463 MB). Fixed context 2048 (64 patches); shorter series are front-padded + masked by the host, so one bundle covers every context length ≤ 2048. Inputs tok_in[1,64,64], cos/sin[1,64,80], attn_bias[1,1,64,64] → outputs proj_point[1,64,1280], proj_q[1,64,10240].
  • host/ — the Python host-DSP reference (timesfm_core.py, host_forecast.py): patching, two-level RevIN (global + per-patch causal Welford), flip-invariance (2 graph calls on ±input), continuous-quantile head, denormalization, positivity clamp. This is the exact spec the Swift Forecaster follows.

Gates (vs the HF TimesFm2_5ModelForPrediction fp32 oracle)

  • Re-authored graph vs HF projections: cos 1.0000000 (MAE ~1e-6).
  • Independent host DSP + graph vs HF final forecast: cos 1.0000000 (rel ~1e-8).
  • Core AI fp16 graph, Mac GPU: cos ≥ 0.99998; end-to-end forecast cos 0.9999999, values match HF to 2–3 decimals — including a front-padded short-context case.
  • iPhone 17 Pro, in-app (KitForecaster, AOT h18p): device forecast == Mac to 3 decimals (Δ ≤ 0.001, fp16 GPU rounding).
  • Mac GPU ~7 ms/graph → ~14 ms per 128-step forecast (flip = 2 calls); iPhone 17 Pro ~25 ms warm (54 ms cold). iOS h18p AOT: clean, device-verified.

Use (Python, Core AI runtime)

import numpy as np, torch, coreai.runtime as rt, asyncio
from host_forecast import forecast          # host/host_forecast.py
from timesfm_core import EngineCore          # thin engine adapter (see host/)

CFG = dict(patch=32, horizon=128, hidden=1280, layers=20, heads=16,
           head_dim=80, inter=1280, q=9, oql=1024, eps=1e-6)
model = asyncio.run(rt.AIModel.load("timesfm_2p5_200m_ctx2048_fp16.aimodel",
                                    rt.SpecializationOptions.from_preferred_compute_unit_kind(
                                        rt.ComputeUnitKind.gpu())))
core = EngineCore(model.load_function("main"), torch.float16)
series = torch.tensor(my_1d_series, dtype=torch.float32)     # any length ≤ 2048
mean_pred, full_pred = forecast(core, series, ctx_len=2048, cfg=CFG)   # (128,), (128,10)

Use (CoreAIKit, Swift)

let forecaster = try await KitForecaster(catalog: "timesfm-2.5-200m")
let out = try await forecaster.forecast(series)          // [Float] → point + quantiles
// out.mean (128-step), out.quantiles (128 × 10)

Base model: TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research). Core AI export: coreai-model-zoo. Apache-2.0.


More models in this format: Core AI Model Zoo — 75 models, each with the recipe that produced it.

Want a different model on-device? Open a request — free, open weights only; the export and its measured numbers get published publicly.

Contributors

mlboydaisuke

11 commits